What is the Kp index?
The Kp index is a number from 0 to 9 that describes how disturbed the Earth's magnetic field is. It is worked out from magnetometers at stations in several parts of the world and given for three hours at a time. The official index comes from GFZ in Potsdam, and NOAA in the United States publishes a Kp forecast for the coming days.
A high Kp means a wider, stronger auroral oval. A low Kp does not mean an empty sky. That depends on where you are standing.
The Kp scale, step by step
How we read the numbers here at 69 degrees north.
Quiet
Kp 0–1. Little activity. A faint arc can still show on a dark, clear evening.
An ordinary night
Kp 2–3. Often enough for clear arcs and bands above us when the sky is clear.
Active
Kp 4. More movement and colour, and the lights tend to cover more of the sky.
Storm
Kp 5–9. A geomagnetic storm. The aurora is seen far to the south, and here it may be right overhead.
How much Kp do you need near Senja and Tromsø?
Many visitors think they have to wait for Kp 5. That is true further south. We are at 69 degrees north, inside the auroral zone, where the northern lights are often visible at Kp 1 to 3. The same goes for Senja and Tromsø.
Three things have to be in place, and Kp is the least important of them.
Darkness. The season runs roughly from September to late March. In summer it is too light.
A clear sky. The aurora is far above the clouds. Under thick cloud you see nothing, whatever the Kp.
Activity. Kp 2 under a clear sky beats Kp 6 behind cloud.
Northern lights tonight? How to read the aurora forecast
There are three numbers to look at. Our live aurora forecast is made for Dyrøy, near Senja, and shows them together.
Cloud cover as a percentage. Start here: the lower, the better.
Kp index right now, with an activity level.
Probability of aurora, and the best time of the evening.
Kp is the same in Tromsø as it is near Senja. Cloud cover is local, so check it for where you are.
A forecast is a guide, not a timetable. Kp is one figure for the whole planet over three hours, and the lights can flare up for a short while even when the number is low. If it is clear, look outside regularly from early evening until after midnight.
Watch the sky from bed
The easiest way to catch a short burst of aurora is to be somewhere dark with the sky above you. In one of our AuroraHuts you lie under a glass roof and can keep watch without standing outside in the cold.
From the hotel rooms it is only a few steps out onto the veranda. The jacuzzi and the wood-fired hot tub can be booked for the evening.